Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.166202 0.177948 0.190231 0.204057 0.219216 0.235362 0.253899
2026-01-18 0.143942 0.160780 0.179387 0.201583 0.227477 0.256899 0.293101
2026-01-25 0.129931 0.149116 0.171088 0.198319 0.231451 0.270825 0.321720
2026-02-01 0.123244 0.144667 0.169948 0.202322 0.243171 0.293679 0.361936
2026-02-08 0.115080 0.137516 0.164631 0.200281 0.246627 0.305851 0.388961
2026-02-15 0.109149 0.132516 0.161367 0.200216 0.252121 0.320513 0.419967
2026-02-22 0.102463 0.126045 0.155683 0.196400 0.252078 0.327401 0.440389
2026-03-01 0.097787 0.121809 0.152517 0.195530 0.255693 0.339222 0.468474
2026-03-08 0.094390 0.118997 0.150972 0.196610 0.261877 0.354855 0.503287
2026-03-15 0.089871 0.114431 0.146782 0.193688 0.262039 0.361572 0.524810
2026-03-22 0.086288 0.110928 0.143816 0.192238 0.264110 0.371078 0.551329
2026-03-29 0.084442 0.109682 0.143851 0.195006 0.272483 0.390608 0.595792
2026-04-05 0.081352 0.106614 0.141238 0.193837 0.274929 0.401246 0.626739
2026-04-12 0.078111 0.103202 0.137980 0.191526 0.275450 0.408821 0.653136
2026-04-19 0.074890 0.099675 0.134381 0.188472 0.274538 0.413870 0.675336
2026-04-26 0.073873 0.099244 0.135236 0.192217 0.284671 0.438004 0.735066
2026-05-03 0.071341 0.096508 0.132559 0.190308 0.285398 0.446031 0.764978
2026-05-10 0.069472 0.094664 0.131121 0.190247 0.289141 0.459523 0.806945
2026-05-17 0.066798 0.091531 0.127604 0.186675 0.286689 0.461692 0.826154
2026-05-24 0.064985 0.089613 0.125856 0.185860 0.288890 0.472429 0.864224
2026-05-31 0.063727 0.088478 0.125255 0.186871 0.294297 0.489466 0.917655
2026-06-07 0.061632 0.086004 0.122480 0.184136 0.292876 0.493402 0.942683
2026-06-14 0.059970 0.084137 0.120582 0.182778 0.293833 0.501960 0.979087